Secessionist No. 13

The Case for American Secession

By Kirkpatrick Sale of the Middlebury Institute
(Chronicles magazine, November 2005)
*rehosted here with the express permission of Mr. Sale

There has always been talk about secession in this country by those variously disgruntled on both the right and left, but since the last Presidential election, which showed great and deep-seated divisions in American society on a variety of fundamental issues, that talk has grown exponentially.  I would not argue that it will actually lead to a dissolution of this nation into separate states or regions or confederacies, but that is not by any means inconceivable, and I would say that the issue should be taken seriously and examined  carefully.

            The first question to be asked, and it is not a frivolous one, is whether secession is legal—whether the Constitution can be read, and history cited, as permitting (or at least not forbidding) a state to declare its independence from the Union.  Scholars have come down on both sides of this issue, but that fact alone suggests that there is a legitimate argument to be made. To put it simply:

            The Tenth Amendment reserves powers not delegated to the U.S. to the states or the people, so states may act unless specifically prohibited.  The Constitution in fact says nothing about secession, and as Confederate states were seceding Congress considered an amendment forbidding secession, which means that the principle wasn’t there in the first place. Three of the original thirteen states (Rhode Island, New York, and Virginia) kept an explicit right to secede when they joined the Union, and since that was never challenged of questioned it must be a right that all states enjoy. And in the 19th century, before South Carolina began the bandwagon of secession in 1860,  seven states (Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Georgia, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Massachusetts, and Vermont) enacted acts of nullification—meaning their refusal to recognize some or all of the powers of the national government—without any retaliation by Washington.

            Of course Lincoln’s government acted as if secession were illegal and unconstitutional, and its victory established the practical case, operable to this day, that states will be punished if they try to secede, and the Constitution is irrelevant.  But it did not establish a legal case, and the legal (not to mention moral) argument for the right to secede remains strong.  So strong that even if it were denied in the U.S. courts  it would likely be defended in the court of world opinion by many of the world’s nations, including those in the European Union and those that have recently exerted that right (in the former Soviet Union and former Yugoslavia, for example). And that might make it difficult for the Federal government to act against a state that has voted for secession, particularly if there were no overriding moral issues (a la slavery) and the state proved agreeable to negotiation over Federal property and assets within its boundaries.

            Even accepting that,  a second question arises over whether a Federal government could allow a state or especially a group of states to secede, regardless of rights, if it threatened the sovereignty and power of the remaining nation.  Washington might not want to let California go, as much as the neocons might like it, for fear that Cascadia (Oregon and Washington) and New England (and who knows how many disgruntled others?) would follow suit. If it still had the military means and the loyalty of the remaining troops, it might be expected to contrive a way (a Gulf of Tonkin or WMD excuse) to justify the invasion of a secessionist nation.
            And yet, and yet.  It is hard to think that a Federal government would actually command its troops to mow down Los Angelenos and San Franciscans the way they do the innocents of Falluja and Najaf, or withstand the barrage of criticism, domestic and international, if it did; such an act would more likely propel additional secessions than gain support. It is harder still to think that the troops would actually carry out such an order, killing (ex)Americans on (ex)American territory. And if the troops did actually succeed in conquering and occupying  an independent state, the population would be virtually uncontrollable—if  it is not possible to win the hearts and minds of Vietnamese and Iraqis by invasion,  think how much less possible it would be to win over people who had voted for  secession with the full knowledge that it might lead to war, 

            It is not fantastic, then, to imagine that instead of a futile war Washington would be willing to negotiate a settlement, in the hopes that, by giving concessions on autonomy and self-regulation, say, and by demonstrating the extent of the Federal dollars lost, it could win a secessionist state back into the Union. In some cases that might well happen, and if it failed it would at least show a government intelligent and confident enough to act as a future ally rather than a marauding warmonger. And as an ally, it might be able to establish diplomatic and trade ties that would allow it to still use such resources and talents of the new state as it wanted, perhaps even the bases it had previously used. With the additional benefit of no longer having to maintain Federal offices, regulators, highways, parks, dams,  and such, and even presumably with a negotiated fee in compensation for these lost assets.

There is another strategy that a Federal government determined to squash secession might take, involving no troops, no war, nothing but a few phonecalls.  Washington might put pressure on large chain operations—Wal-Mart, Target,  McDonald’s,  General Motors, Gannett, and many others—to cease doing business in the secessionist state, lest  the Feds make things difficult for them in all the others. And unless the secession is so widespread that more states are out than in, a highly unlikely outcome, the corporations will comply and shut down and withdraw their businesses in the independent state.

            Would that—or even the threat of that—cut  the legs out from under a secessionist state and force it to come crawling back to the Union?  I think not, for several reasons.

            First, a seceding state would have to be, and would want to be, in great measure self-sufficient, providing for itself those goods and services it could not trade for with the outside world.  Like Japan historically, and a number of other new states, it would create  a phenomenon that Jane Jacobs has called “import replacement,”  the building of bicycles at home, recycling the metals and materials from the dumps and by the wayside, instead of buying them from abroad.  It would certainly not be able to offer bikes for sale as cheaply as Wal-Mart does, at least at first, but it would put many more people to work per bike than Wal-Mart, and strengthen its economy in ways that would eventually enable its people to buy the more expensive product.  Imagine this going on  for a host of other goods across the state, replacing those that can be made by intelligent recycling and manufacturing, refitting and reusing others, developing hand crafts as a substitute for machinery to create others, refusing to make those that are pointless, wasteful, environmentally harmful, or costly, and foregoing many that turn out after a while to be neither necessary nor desirable. Wal-Mart would not only not be missed, it would be seen as having been a foolish enterprise that foisted too much needless “stuff,” in too many useless varieties, of too shoddy a manufacture, with too much added-in transportation costs, on a gullible and malleable public.

            And if the citizens of the new state really missed some big chain store and couldn't work out a replacement, they would stoically bear that burden as good and loyal patriots.

            A second reason that the economic threat would not have much force is that the new state might well start out with more money in its coffers because it would not have to pay Federal income, gasoline, telephone, and other taxes;  seventeen states (twelve of them “blue,” interestingly enough) now pay more to the Federal government than they get back in Federal benefits.  California, for example, got back just 78 cents in benefits for every dollar it sent to Washington in 2003 (according to the Tax Foundation), and as the independent Republic of California would thereby have an extra 22 cents in its pocket for every dollar—that would have meant, in 2004, that the citizens would have $88,000,000 lying around that wouldn't be going to Washington and  they could use for local projects.  Sounds like a pretty nice cushion to me.

            Of course not every state is California, and the attempt at some sort of economic independence would work out differently in different places—and if it looked like a state couldn't be on its own economically it would be very foolish to launch a secessionist movement.  But a great many states in this country could be economically viable on their own, with arrangements that would let them trade with outside nations, including the U.S. and Canada. Besides,  the necessity of economic survival is a very fertile mother, and like many small nations an independent state could find ways of making itself useful in the economic world; indeed some of the richest nations—Liechtenstein,  Luxembourg, Monaco, Cayman Islands, Iceland, Belgium, San Marino, and Singapore, for example—are some of the smallest, and that’s leaving aside the Persian Gulf oil states.

            The last reason for being optimistic about small-state viability, and the nullity of the Wal-Mart strategy, has to be put in the context of the economic future of the United States.  I happen to be among the growing band of people who believe that there will be extremely difficult times ahead, and in the nearer rather than farther future, as a combination of crises and calamities pushes us to a completely new kind of society. They include the dwindling of cheap oil supplies (which already seems to have begun) and skyrocketing gasoline prices, the collapse of the value of the dollar from the spiraling trade deficit and national debt,  the bursting of the real estate bubble, the effect of global warming on agriculture and fisheries, the rise of sea levels, the spread of diseases old and new, the increase in severe weather (of which Katrina is a foretaste), the diminution of fresh water, the exhaustion of  tropical forests, the erosion of arable soils, the continued pollution of air and water, the depletion of mineral resources, and the whole impact of human activity on the global environment (“Human activity is putting such a strain on the natural functions of Earth that the ability of the planet’s ecosystems to sustain future generations can no longer be taken for granted”: Ecosystem Millennium Assessment, March 2005).

            As a result of all that—or indeed of any of several parts of that—the national  economy will have to transform itself.  It will in fact be less a national than a local economy, particularly as gasoline supplies diminish and become prohibitively expensive and the dollar becomes an increasingly irrelevant measure of worth.  James Howard Kunstler, whose new book The Long Emergency is about the likelihood of just such a future, writes that it

will require us to downscale and re-scale virtually everything we do and how we do it, from the kind  of communities we physically inhabit to the way we
grow our food to the way we work and trade the products of our work….Anything
organized on the large scale, whether it is government or a corporate business enterprise such as Wal-Mart, will wither as the cheap energy props that support bigness fall away.

And then a small independent state, which can be more or less buffered from the national emergency and dependent on a relatively self-sufficient economy, makes a lot of sense.

            Which might be the best argument for secession right there.  If the future is going to be anything like what we alarmists are saying, there would seem to be a need to establish small-scale institutions and enterprises and trading circles as soon as possible, along with revivified community enterprises and cottage craftsmanship, and a statewide level suggests itself as the appropriate scale.  And if that can be done in connection with political and cultural independence, such economic independence makes a powerful and attractive package. More than that, perhaps a necessary one.

Necessary, and, I want to argue, desirable.  This country simply is not working right—as both the war in Iraq and the bumbling of Katrina (at all levels) make clear—and its corruption and inefficiency are harmful to the bulk of the population.  The Federal government, aside from being bureaucracy-bound and politically hamstrung, is too big and complicated and inherently incompetent, and its attempt to provide for 280 million people and maintain a global empire of 725 military bases has proved to be impossible, placing terrible political and financial burdens on everyone.  Secession would allow populations to escape this Leviathan, keep its human and financial resources from going down that rathole, avoid association with the failed politics of an ugly empire, and set its own policies (on same-sex marriage, abortion, stem-cell research, and so on) without interference from a distant central government increasingly in the hands of corporate interests and right-wing ideologues. It would allow a blue state a chance to escape from the policies and culture of a red-state government and set its own course. It would, in short,  allow people to leave the country they dislike without leaving the homes they cherish. What could make more sense?

Kirkpatrick Sale - is the author of thirteen books, including Human Scale and Dwellers in the Land: The Bioregional Vision (University of Georgia Press).  He is a founder and director of The Middlebury Institute for “the study of separatism, secession, and self-determination.” Author of Secessionist Paper No. 12, 13, 14 and 15.

The Calhoun Institute

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